Decision analysis for periodontal therapy

Current decision-making approaches in clinical medicine and dentistry are based on principles developed when diagnostic and therapeutic options were few. The rapid pace of new technology development and the role of third-party payment systems are increasingly requiring that health-care providers and patients confront very complex decisions. These decisions typically involve significant uncertainty (e.g., How will a specific patient respond to each possible treatment?) and difficult tradeoffs (e.g., How much are patients willing to pay in money, time, and treatment effectiveness to avoid pain and discomfort?). This paper discusses high-quality decision-making. High-quality diagnostic and therapeutic decisions result from a well-developed decision basis that represents the alternatives, information, and preferences pertaining to the decision at hand. An effective decision basis is framed to address patients' and clinicians' key concerns. The resulting recommendation for action is based on an understanding of what factors are most sensitive in determining the best course of action. Moreover, the value of additional information-gathering efforts (e.g., further diagnosis) can be measured before the information is obtained to determine whether it is worth more than it costs. The paper illustrates the need for better decision-making methods with a sample patient case, discusses key decision analysis principles and methods, identifies specific areas where periodontal decision-making can be improved by decision analysis, and presents a periodontal decision analysis case. It then discusses how intelligent decision system technology can make decision analysis widely available in a clinical setting and concludes by exploring how a future dental office might use this technology on a routine basis.